Re: [amsat-bb] any solar storm updates

["JC Smith" <jc-smith@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>]

Kieth and all,

For those who have not subscribed to the LAVA reports, here is the latest
one.  It looks like this will be a big one.  I was up (on and off) most of
last night, but the moon and clouds prevented seeing anything except for a
few neat light shows behind the clouds caused by boomers in the area.

72 - JC,k0hps@amsat.org

report follows:

Laramie Aurora Visibility Alert - 36A

Time and date of this statement: 4:05pm, 7/14/00

Timing of visible activity: Fri night to Mon morning (7/14-17/00)
  Comments: The geomagnetic field became active again today,
  and this activity should continue tongiht.  However, the best
  show will occur tomorrow night.  An exceptionally strong solar
  flare occurred early this morning, and the magnetic effects from
  this flare should reach Earth tomorrow afternoon or evening.
  Keep in mind that the activity tonight probably will not be very
  strong; this alert is mainly for Saturday night and Sunday night.
  If by 9pm it appears that strong activity will occur tonight, I
  will send out an update.  And, of course, this alert will be
  updated tomorrow afternoon at the usual time.

Probability/strength of activity: HIGH
  Comments: A major auroral event is expected tomorrow night.  This
  is the most favorable situation during the 21 months I've been
  issuing these alerts.  Moonlight will be a factor, but at it's
  peak, the activity should easily be visible.  If this event
  occurs as expected, it could end up at the "VERY HIGH" level.

Moonlight interference: VERY HIGH all night

Additional information:
The four descriptive words are: LOW, MEDIUM, HIGH, and VERY HIGH
___________________________________________________
EXPERIMENTAL forecast information; use with caution

Maximum Boulder K-index: 8
  Visibility  Latitude
   LOW         <34
   MEDIUM       34-38
   HIGH         38-41
   VERY HIGH      >41

Visibility as a function of latitude assumes dark skies.  Add 1-3
degrees of latitude for bright moonlight or urban light pollution.
----- Original Message -----
From: Keith N. Thews <kthews@juno.com>
To: <amsat-bb@AMSAT.Org>
Sent: Friday, July 14, 2000 12:01 PM
Subject: [amsat-bb] any solar storm updates


> Dear Amsat-bb,
>      I was wondering if anyone has updates on the solar storm that's
> supposed to hit this afternoon and its effects.
>
> Keith Thews
>
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